Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000594 0.000676 0.000764 0.000863 0.000973 0.001089 0.001223
2025-11-09 0.000465 0.000579 0.000709 0.000865 0.001048 0.001254 0.001503
2025-11-16 0.000379 0.000502 0.000650 0.000836 0.001063 0.001328 0.001658
2025-11-23 0.000316 0.000444 0.000604 0.000813 0.001077 0.001395 0.001803
2025-11-30 0.000275 0.000408 0.000578 0.000809 0.001110 0.001481 0.001969
2025-12-07 0.000244 0.000379 0.000558 0.000809 0.001144 0.001568 0.002135
2025-12-14 0.000214 0.000349 0.000534 0.000801 0.001165 0.001635 0.002277
2025-12-21 0.000188 0.000321 0.000509 0.000788 0.001177 0.001691 0.002404
2025-12-28 0.000176 0.000312 0.000511 0.000811 0.001238 0.001811 0.002617
2026-01-04 0.000163 0.000300 0.000506 0.000824 0.001286 0.001913 0.002809
2026-01-11 0.000146 0.000280 0.000488 0.000817 0.001303 0.001974 0.002946
2026-01-18 0.000130 0.000261 0.000469 0.000805 0.001312 0.002023 0.003066
2026-01-25 0.000120 0.000250 0.000462 0.000812 0.001350 0.002113 0.003247
2026-02-01 0.000110 0.000237 0.000452 0.000814 0.001378 0.002192 0.003412
2026-02-08 0.000095 0.000215 0.000425 0.000786 0.001361 0.002203 0.003482
2026-02-15 0.000083 0.000197 0.000402 0.000764 0.001351 0.002223 0.003565
2026-02-22 0.000075 0.000187 0.000392 0.000761 0.001369 0.002285 0.003708
2026-03-01 0.000069 0.000178 0.000383 0.000761 0.001393 0.002354 0.003864
2026-03-08 0.000062 0.000167 0.000370 0.000753 0.001402 0.002402 0.003988
2026-03-15 0.000055 0.000155 0.000356 0.000740 0.001403 0.002438 0.004095
2026-03-22 0.000053 0.000154 0.000361 0.000762 0.001462 0.002563 0.004338
2026-03-29 0.000050 0.000151 0.000361 0.000775 0.001506 0.002665 0.004549
2026-04-05 0.000045 0.000142 0.000350 0.000768 0.001516 0.002715 0.004680